FINANCE + MATHEMATICS STUDENTQUANTITATIVE RESEARCH
BASED IN THE USA

JORDAN
JOHNSON

An independent research practice investigating how information, uncertainty, and human behavior move financial markets.

EXPLORE ARCHIVE
00RESEARCH PRINCIPLE

Markets produce noise.
Research finds structure.

HYPOTHESIS → EVIDENCE → REVISION
“The purpose of computing is insight, not numbers.”
— RICHARD HAMMING
01SELECTED RESEARCH

THE
ARCHIVE.

FILTER / ALL2026—ONGOING04 RECORDS
01
Inflation Research / Study design

CPI Release Impact on S&P 500 Returns

202612 min protocolIMPACT A1
ABSTRACT / INTENT

An event-study framework for separating inflation surprise, volatility regime, and post-release return windows.

80+ releases3 return windows2 volatility regimes
VIEW RESEARCH
02
Macroeconomics / Research question

Volatility Regimes Around Macro Announcements

20267 min outlineIMPACT B2
ABSTRACT / INTENT

Tests whether the level and term structure of implied volatility change how markets absorb scheduled information.

VIX term structureFOMC + CPIRegime labels
03
Quantitative Finance / Methods review

Factor Persistence Under Transaction Costs

20269 min outlineIMPACT B1
ABSTRACT / INTENT

A reproducibility study of whether common equity-factor signals survive turnover, slippage, and portfolio constraints.

5 factorsCost modelWalk-forward test
04
Forecasting / Notebook in progress

What Makes a Forecast Calibrated?

20266 min noteIMPACT C1
ABSTRACT / INTENT

Tracks probability forecasts against realized outcomes using Brier scores, calibration curves, and prediction diaries.

Brier scoreReliabilityPrediction log
02LIVE RESEARCH SYSTEM
DATA ROOM / SESSION 01

RESEARCH
LAB

A working view of questions, datasets, models, and evidence. This is where research is made—not just displayed.

RESEARCH OUTPUTYTD / 2026
04ACTIVE
INVESTIGATIONS
08TESTABLE
HYPOTHESES
05MAPPED
DATASETS
01RESEARCH
PROTOCOL
MACRO SIGNAL MONITORILLUSTRATIVE
HIGHNEUTRALLOW
◼ INFLATION SURPRISE○ VOLATILITY REGIME+0.37
MODEL PIPELINESTATUS
CPI EVENT STUDYDESIGN
42%
FORECAST CALIBRATIONBUILD
28%
FACTOR COST TESTREVIEW
16%
ECONOMIC INDICATOR MAPWATCHLIST
SERIESROLELINK
CPI-UINFLATIONPRIMARY
CORE CPIPERSISTENCEPRIMARY
VIXUNCERTAINTYCONDITION
SPXRESPONSETARGET
2Y USTRATESCONTROL
RESEARCH HEATMAPQUESTION × METHOD
MACROBEHAVIORFACTORSRISK

LAB NOTE / Dashboard values describe the current research workflow and illustrative model states—not investment recommendations or live trading signals.

03MARKET JOURNAL

NOTES FROM
THE DESK.

A chronological record of hypotheses, reading notes, failed assumptions, and ideas worth testing.

04PROJECT SYSTEMS

RESEARCH,
MADE VISIBLE.

CASE / 01
● ACTIVE DEVELOPMENT

CPI RESEARCH
DATABASE

A reproducible event-study system connecting U.S. inflation releases, surprise measures, volatility conditions, and multiple S&P 500 return horizons.

OBJECTIVEMeasure market reaction
METHODEvent study + regimes
STACKPython / SQL / FRED
OPEN CASE STUDY
EVENT WINDOW / t−1 → t+10OBS / PROTOCOL
-1012345678910
RETURN RESPONSERELEASE EVENT ↑
07ABOUT / TRAJECTORY

ABOUT (ME)

Finance and mathematics student.

Research-driven investor.

Aspiring quantitative researcher.

I am building the technical and intellectual foundation to study markets with rigor: finance for context, mathematics for structure, programming for scale, and writing for clarity.

This archive documents the process in public—including the questions, assumptions, methods, and revisions that precede any result.

EDUCATION

Ball State University

B.S. Finance
Mathematics studies
Expected 2028

RESEARCH INTERESTS

Markets under information

Inflation · Volatility
Market microstructure
Forecasting · Factor models

CURRENT CURRICULUM

Technical foundations

Python · SQL · Statistics
Calculus · Econometrics
Market research writing

CURRENT FOCUS

Turning questions into tests

Python research workflows
Probability and statistics
Market data analysis

COMMUNITY

Finance beyond models

Founder, Women In Quantitative Finance Club
Founder, Youth Financial Wellness Program
Beta Alpha Psi
Indianapolis CFA Society

NORTH STAR

Research with consequence

Quantitative research
Graduate financial engineering
Portfolio decision systems

08RESEARCH AGENDA

WHERE THE WORK
GOES NEXT.

A focused research agenda built around sharper questions, stronger evidence, and models that hold up out of sample.

1
2026 / CURRENT

INFLATION & VOLATILITY

Extend the CPI event-study database · test surprise and regime effects · publish reproducible findings

2
2026—27

MODEL VALIDATION

Out-of-sample testing · robustness checks · feature stability · forecast calibration · systematic backtests

3
2027—28

PORTFOLIO RESEARCH

Factor exposures · risk decomposition · scenario analysis · portfolio construction across market regimes

4
LONGER HORIZON

MARKET SYSTEMS

Market microstructure · stochastic modeling · derivatives · execution research · computational finance